Viewpoint
01.26.23What Impact Would a U.S. Debt Default Have on China?
The big political drama in Washington in the next few months will be the fight over the federal debt ceiling. The worst-case scenario is that Congress refuses to raise the ceiling and the U.S. Treasury defaults on its debt. Since U.S. treasury debt...
China in the World Podcast
08.18.22China’s Role in Sri Lanka’s Debt Crisis
from Carnegie China
In this episode of the China in the World podcast, Paul Haenle speaks with Anushka Wijesinha about the ongoing political and economic crisis in Sri Lanka. The discussion covers the domestic and international causes of Sri Lanka’s debt crisis,...
Viewpoint
07.18.19‘See, They Are So Happy with Our Generosity!’
On June 22, in Sihanoukville, a port city in southwest Cambodia, a Chinese-owned building under construction collapsed, killing at least 28 people, all Cambodians. The owner had undertaken the construction without the required permit, and defied...
The China Africa Project
07.17.19Where is the Evidence of Debt Traps in Africa?
To discuss accusations that China engages in so-called “debt trap diplomacy,” Eric and Cobus spoke with Deborah Brautigam, a Johns Hopkins University Professor and Director of the China-Africa Research Initiative in Washington, D.C. The “debt trap”...
The China Africa Project
05.16.19Confused About China’s Belt and Road Agenda? You’re Not Alone.
Thirty-seven foreign heads of state came to Beijing this week to take part in the second Belt and Road summit hosted by Chinese President Xi Jinping. Some leaders, like Kenya’s President Uhuru Kenyatta, came with expectations to sign huge...
The China Africa Project
05.16.19Chinese and Africans are Having Totally Different Conversations About Their Relationship
Chinese news coverage and African and international reports are often starkly different from one another, even when discussing the same issues. With Chinese and African news consumers reading vastly different perspectives, what can be done to narrow...
The China Africa Project
05.10.19Is the Belt and Road Initiative a Bold Economic Agenda or a Political Ploy?
In an ongoing series that explores different interpretations of what exactly is the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Eric and Cobus are joined by Zhu Zheng, an international affairs columnist for Caixin and a research fellow at the China-Eastern...
The China Africa Project
01.18.19African Governments Need to Negotiate Better Deals With China. Here's How They Can Do It.
The problem with the “debt trap” theory is that it too often strips Africans of their agency in the negotiating process. That either they don’t know what they are doing or they’re simply negotiating bad deals. While both of those may be true, in...
The China Africa Project
01.11.19China’s Economy is Slowing and That’s Really Bad News for Africa
Pretty much every major economic indicator suggests that the Chinese economy will continue its downward momentum in 2019. Industrial production, retail sales, and even the once red-hot property market are all showing real signs of weakness. Some...
The China Africa Project
09.20.18Whose Problem is Kenya’s Debt: Kenya’s or China’s?
Nairobi-based international development economist Anzetse Were suggests in a new paper that Kenya’s leaders, not China, should be the ones held accountable for borrowing too much money without a detailed, transparent plan on how to repay the loans...
ChinaFile Recommends
08.06.18China Millennials’ Love of Credit Cards Raises Debt Fears
Financial Times
Mr Wang is part of a generation of young consumers who have rejected the thrifty habits of their elders and become used to spending with borrowed money. Outstanding consumer loans — used for vehicle purchases, holidays, household renovations and...
ChinaFile Recommends
07.12.18China’s Effort to Control Debt Loses Steam
Wall Street Journal
China is letting up on its drive to keep a lid on debt growth as it faces a softening economy at home and escalating trade tensions with the U.S.
The China Africa Project
07.05.18A U.S. View on China’s So-Called ‘Debtbook Diplomacy’ Agenda
For the past year or so, senior U.S. government officials have been accusing China of engaging in so-called “debtbook diplomacy,” a tactic that Washington contends intentionally burdens developing countries with billions of dollars of loans. When...
ChinaFile Recommends
07.03.18China’s Massive ‘Belt and Road’ Spending Spree Has Caused Concern around the World, and Now It's China’s Turn to Worry
Business Insider
Since announcing its Belt and Road Initiative five years ago, China has spread billions of dollars around Asia, Africa, and Eastern Europe, supporting a variety of infrastructure projects and stoking concern about Beijing's growing global sway.
ChinaFile Recommends
05.15.18Warning Sounded over China's 'Debtbook Diplomacy'
Guardian
Academics identify 16 countries loaned billions that they can’t afford to repay.
ChinaFile Recommends
05.10.18With Jail Sentences and Corporate Flameouts, China Is Tackling its Debt
New York Times
A Shanghai court imprisoned a tycoon who used a mountain of debt to buy the Waldorf Astoria hotel.
The China Africa Project
04.16.18Angola: China’s Risky Gamble in Africa
China has loaned Angola an estimated U.S.$60 billion dollars since the two countries established diplomatic relations back in 1983, making it one of the top destinations for Chinese financing in Africa. Angola is especially attractive for the...
Books
04.12.18China’s Great Wall of Debt
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt: Over the course of a decade spent reporting on the ground in China as a financial journalist, Dinny McMahon gradually came to the conclusion that the widely held belief in China’s inevitable economic ascent is dangerously wrong.In this unprecedented deep dive, McMahon shows how, lurking behind the illusion of prosperity, China’s economic growth has been built on a staggering mountain of debt. While stories of newly built but empty cities, white elephant state projects, and a byzantine shadow banking system have all become a regular fixture in the press in recent years, McMahon goes beyond the headlines to explain how such waste has been allowed to flourish, and why one of the most powerful governments in the world has been at a loss to stop it.Through the stories of ordinary Chinese citizens, McMahon tries to make sense of the unique—and often bizarre—mechanics of the Chinese economy, whether it be the state’s addiction to appropriating land from poor farmers, why a Chinese entrepreneur decided it was cheaper to move his yarn factory to South Carolina, why ambitious Chinese mayors build ghost cities, or why the Chinese bureaucracy was able to stare down Beijing’s attempts to break up the state’s pointless monopoly over the distribution of table salt.Debt, entrenched vested interests, a frenzy of speculation, and an aging population are all pushing China toward an economic reckoning. China’s Great Wall of Debt unravels an incredibly complex and opaque economy, one whose fortunes—for better or worse—will shape the globe like never before.{chop}
The China Africa Project
03.19.18Tillerson’s Last Act: ‘Do as I Say, Not as I Do’ Advice for Africa
There is a certain irony when a U.S. envoy travels to Africa to warn his hosts about the dangers of borrowing money from China. The United States, after all, is the world’s most indebted country and borrows more from China than any other nation in...
ChinaFile Recommends
01.22.18Chinese Bank Fined over Multibillion-Dollar Bad-Debt Cover-Up
South China Morning Post
China’s banking regulator has slapped a 462 million yuan (US$72 million) fine on a bank branch over a massive shell company fraud, as Beijing continues to crack down on financial risks.
ChinaFile Recommends
12.20.17China Shrugs off Debt Worries as Xi Takes Firmer Economic Grip
New York Times
It’s Xi Jinping’s economy now, and he isn’t too worried about debt.
ChinaFile Recommends
12.13.17Founder of China's Embattled LeEco Placed on Debt Blacklist
Reuters
The high-profile founder of struggling Chinese tech conglomerate LeEco has been placed on an official blacklist of debt defaulters, a further blow to a firm that had spent heavily to compete in areas from smart cars to online entertainment.
ChinaFile Recommends
12.07.17China's Debt Levels Pose Stability Risk, Says IMF
Guardian
Fears that China risks being the cause of a fresh global financial crisis have been highlighted by the International Monetary Fund in a hard-hitting warning about the growing debt-dependency of the world’s second biggest economy.
ChinaFile Recommends
11.20.17Chinese Shadow Banking Has Slowed — but That's Not as Good as It Seems
CNBC
China is on a drive to reduce its reliance on debt, a habit that some experts warn could lead to a global financial crisis.
ChinaFile Recommends
10.11.17China to Debtors: Pay up or Be Shamed
New York Times
Troubled by huge debts run up by big state companies and politically connected local governments, China is taking steps instead to go after the little guys.
ChinaFile Recommends
09.25.17As China Piles on Debt, Consumers Seek a Piece of the Action
New York Times
Chinese central bank data shows that consumer loans have grown almost 50 percent since the start of last year, and the International Monetary Fund said it expected China’s household debt as a percentage of its economic output to double by 2022...
ChinaFile Recommends
08.16.17China Reclaims Spot as World's Biggest Holder of Treasuries
Bloomberg
China reclaimed its position as the top foreign owner of U.S. Treasuries after increasing its holdings for the fifth straight month.China’s holdings of U.S. bonds, notes and bills rose to $1.15 trillion in June, up $44.3 billion from a month earlier...
ChinaFile Recommends
08.01.17Debt-Ridden Chinese Giant Now a Shadow of Its Former Size
New York Times
The Han Show here in central China was supposed to turn the city of Wuhan into a leading tourist destination, with a dazzling spectacle of lights, water jets and acrobats by the former creative director of Cirque du Soleil. But the custom-built 2,...
ChinaFile Recommends
07.11.17In China, Shoppers Buy Bad Loans Online with Their Groceries
Bloomberg
Among the sneakers, diapers, and pet food for sale on Taobao, China’s biggest e-commerce platform, is a listing that may take up a little more space in the online shopping basket.
ChinaFile Recommends
06.08.17Alibaba Predicts Strong Sales in a Sign of Strength from China
New York Times
The Alibaba Group signaled on Thursday that for all the global worries about China’s rising debt and bloated state industries, its economy still enjoys a strong pillar of support: online shoppers.
The China Africa Project
06.06.17Chinese Debt in Africa: How Much Is Too Much?
China now owns more than half of Kenya’s external debt, and that figure is likely to grow even higher as President Uhuru Kenyatta turns to Beijing to finance large infrastructure projects across the country. Most recently, China completed the first...
ChinaFile Recommends
05.25.17China Has a Huge Debt Problem. How Bad Is It?
CNN
Credit rating agency Moody’s downgraded China this week, warning that the country’s financial health is suffering from rising debt and slowing economic growth. It’s the first time the agency has cut China’s rating in nearly three decades.
ChinaFile Recommends
05.24.17China’s Downgrade Could Lead to a Mountain of Debt
Bloomberg
The downgrade of China’s debt by Moody’s Investors Service may push Chinese companies to borrow even more money from domestic banks as overseas debt becomes more expensive, increasing risks for the nation’s finance industry.
Caixin Media
05.05.17Belt and Road: A Symphony in Need of a Strong Conductor
In just a few weeks, the Chinese president will host the Belt and Road summit—Xi Jinping’s landmark program to invest billions of dollars in infrastructure projects across Asia, Africa, and Europe. Reactions to the project have been, understandably...
ChinaFile Recommends
02.27.17China Bankruptcy Cases Surge as Economy Slows
Financial Times
Rise in liquidations reflects growing role for courts in tackling ‘zombie’ companies
ChinaFile Recommends
02.09.17How China’s Dumping of Treasurys Will Affect U.S. Borrowing Costs
Wall Street Journal
Foreign buyers are holding a smaller share of the debt of the some of the world’s top nations
ChinaFile Recommends
02.02.17China’s ‘Silk Road’ Push Stirs Resentment, Protest in Sri Lanka
Voice of America
China signed a deal with Sri Lanka late last year to further develop the strategic port of Hambantota and build a huge industrial zone nearby, a key part of Beijing’s ambitions to create a modern-day “Silk Road” across Asia.
ChinaFile Recommends
02.01.17China Is Facing a Catch-22 Dilemma
Business Insider
A subsidiary of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has recently reached deals with seven Chinese state-owned enterprises to convert about 60 billion yuan ($8.7 billion) of unpaid loans into equity shares.
ChinaFile Recommends
01.20.17China’s Economy Grows Strongly, Yet Central Bank Eases Policy
New York Times
China’s economy firmly hit its growth target last year, but this is China, where figures are sometimes doubted and where economists look for signs of strain underneath the numbers.
ChinaFile Recommends
01.12.17China Banks Extend Record 12.65 Trillion Yuan in Loans in 2016 as Debt Worries Mount
Reuters
China’s banks extended a record 12.56 trillion yuan ($1.82 trillion) of loans in 2016 as the government encouraged more credit-fueled stimulus to meet its economic growth target
ChinaFile Recommends
01.04.17China Inc.’s Large Dollar Debts Fuel Beijing’s Efforts to Curb Yuan Plunge
Wall Street Journal
The large pile of foreign debt owed by Chinese companies, from state-owned banks to airlines, is giving added impetus to Beijing’s efforts to keep the yuan from falling too steeply against the rallying dollar.
ChinaFile Recommends
12.19.16Heralding Social, Financial Change, China Aims Blow at Iron Rice Bowl
Reuters
China has ordered state firms to smash the decades-old system of providing cradle-to-grave welfare support, known as the country's "iron rice bowl"
ChinaFile Recommends
12.16.16China Central Bank Extends Emergency Loans to Financial Firms
Wall Street Journal
Extends hundreds of billions of yuan in loans to ease liquidity crunch, continuing debt selloff
ChinaFile Recommends
12.12.16Meet the Ma Family: How Millennials are Changing the Way China Thinks About Money
Reuters
China's millennials - roughly those aged between 18 and 35 - are embracing debt like never before
ChinaFile Recommends
12.06.16In China, Trump-Style Infrastructure Partnerships are Used to Hide Debt
Wall Street Journal
To pay for a highway project, Wenling’s government teamed up with Bank of China to create an ‘industrial fund’ that pulls in money from ordinary investors
ChinaFile Recommends
10.26.16China’s Latest Debt Crackdown Just Delays More Serious Action
Wall Street Journal
China’s dilemma: how to manage a huge debt mound while maintaining loose monetary policy
ChinaFile Recommends
09.26.16Relax, China’s Banks Aren’t About to Have a Meltdown
South China Morning Post
There are reasons to be worried about China’s debt, but the risk of a 2008-style crisis is not one of them.
ChinaFile Recommends
09.12.16China Rethinks Its Alliance With Reeling Venezuela
Wall Street Journal
Concerns prompted emergency meetings between the Chinese envoy and state companies.
Media
08.25.16China Analysts Should Talk to Each Other, Not at Each Other
On August 12, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued its annual report card on China’s economy and gave the country mixed grades, finding that its “economic transition will continue to be complex, challenging, and potentially bumpy.” In...
ChinaFile Recommends
08.15.16China Shares Hit Seven-Month High; World Yields Keep Falling
Reuters
Chinese stocks helped offset news that Japan’s economic growth had ground to a halt.
Caixin Media
08.09.16China's New 'Bad Loan' Managers: Savvy Saviors or Riskier than Ever?
As China's economy slows and defaults rise, 'bad loan' managers say they spot an opportunity to pick up bargains, because lenders are eager to shed toxic debt that might otherwise poison the broader financial system. Yet questions...
Conversation
05.24.16How Much Debt Is Too Much in China?
In the first quarter of 2016, Chinese debt rose to 237 percent of GDP—a level comparable to that of the U.S. or the Eurozone and yet much larger than that of most developing economies, according to analysis by The Financial Times. Additionally,...
ChinaFile Recommends
05.12.16China Party Mouthpiece Echoes Soros' Debt Fears
Financial Times
‘Authoritative’ source warns party paper of ‘deadly’ risk to economy.
Caixin Media
04.05.16No Point in Ramping Up Personal Debt to Help Property Market
Having banks and local governments deleverage and trim overcapacity are part and parcel with central government efforts to maintain stable growth by nurturing the supply side of the economy. But even as this is happening, the housing market has been...
The China Africa Project
01.19.16Africa Feels the Chill of China’s Cooling Economy
It hasn’t even been a month since Chinese president Xi Jinping was in South Africa for the triennial Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) confab where he unveiled a massive $60 billion financial package. Oh how those were innocent, halcyon days...
ChinaFile Recommends
08.24.15Great Fall of China Sinks World Stocks, Dollar
Reuters
A near 9-percent dive in China shares and a sharp drop in the dollar and major commodities sent investors rushing for the exit.
ChinaFile Recommends
07.01.15Why it is Better to Stay Out of China A-shares
Financial Times
Where did the argument for China A-shares go? In the last two weeks the case for the booming stock market of mainland China has turned at least two somersaults.
Caixin Media
01.20.15Good Times Are Over for Local Governments
Two pieces of recent news have piqued the public's interest. First, local governments reported their latest debt figures to the Ministry of Finance. The numbers have not been made public, but sources say many officials reported large amounts in...
Features
12.10.14Why Beijing’s Troubles Could Get a Lot Worse
from Barron’s
Few foreigners know China as intimately as Anne Stevenson-Yang does. She has spent the bulk of her professional life there since first arriving in 1985, working as a journalist, magazine publisher, and software executive, with stints in between...
ChinaFile Recommends
10.24.14Ministry Said to Propose Local Governments Issuing Bonds to Cover Debts
Outstanding central and local government debt totaled 20.7 trillion yuan at the end of June last year, data from the National Audit Office show.